Peter Drucker's Worst Case Estimates
I'm sure you are up to you "eyeballs" in work, so I will be brief.
I am in the mitts of doing research for my next book
, when I came across an article by Peter Drucker entitled, Managing Cash in the New Venture.
In the article, Mr. Drucker states that, "The new venture needs cash-flow analysis, cash-flow forecast, and cash management. Cash management is fairly easy if there are reliable cash-flow forecasts with reliable, meaning worst case assumptions, rather than hope. If the forecast is overly conservative, the worst that can happen is a temporary cash surplus."
Mr. Drucker goes on to suggest, "Develop worst case estimates of cash flow and cash forecasts for new ventures. Monitor receivables and inventory levels closely." If Mr.Drucker were still alive today, I think it would be fair to say that he would not limit his advice only to new ventures, but would extend his advice to include all types of business ventures.



